Written Commentary
ADM Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results
November 4, 2025
- Recordings of today’s special edition of GI Daily Energy Markets podcast Click here
- Japan: BOJ is said to see inflation running stronger than it expected
- U.K.: UK hiring slows again in May but downturn might be easing
- Germany: May WPI -0.3% m/m 0.4% y/y
EVENTS PREVIEW
For all that this week’s US inflation data were lower than expected, and the US and China agreed to continue their dialogue on trade, the themes around trade and other geopolitical tensions remain the primary influences on market sentiment. The one lesson that may be being learnt is that a binary swing of the pendulum between euphoria and despair is simply the wrong framework for forming any perspectives, as reaction to reports about a potential attack on Iran by Israel demonstrates – it would mark an escalation that had been partially discounted as less of a threat, but ultimately what is attacked, if this does happen, is also of crucial importance. The data schedule is modest, with the UK REC/KPMG employment survey, Japan services output and a rash of final national Eurozone CPI readings to digest, with the US provisional Juen Michigan Sentiment the highlight of the schedule ahead, given a thin calendar of events.
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