ADMISI London Wheat Report for 8 January

London Wheat Report

Grains Chart 8 Jan 2024

Snow has started falling in parts of the UK, as the country braces for a week-long cold spell. South-east England will see a mix of snow, sleet and rain during Monday. The private US Moon mission launched on Monday has run into technical problems. The Astrobotic company behind the project says its Peregrine spacecraft has experienced an “anomaly” that has stopped it from pointing its solar panels stably at the Sun.

Russian wheat export prices have increased in the last two weeks which has been put down to smaller market activity over the holiday period. The price of 12.5% wheat for FOB delivery in Feb was $244 up $1.

German farmers are ramping up their protests against subsidy cuts by the government. Convoys of tractors and trucks gathered on roads in sub-zero temperatures in nearly all 16 federal states, while protesters clashed with police. Videos coming from Germany show hundreds of tractors blocking major roads throughout Germany.

Ukraine’s grain exports so far in the 2023/24 July-June marketing season have fallen to about 19.4 million metric tons from almost 23.6 million tons at the same stage last year, agriculture ministry data showed on Monday. The volume exported this season includes 7.8 million tons of wheat, 10.3 million tons of corn and 1.2 million tons of barley.

Brazilian soybean farmers have begun to reap their 2023/24 soybean crop, covering some 0.6% of the national planted area as of last Thursday, agribusiness consultancy AgRural said on Monday. Field work is more advanced in top grain state Mato Grosso, where yields “are much lower than normal” after hot and dry weather destroyed part of the crop. In large producer Parana state, the yields are “very good and in line with farmers’ expectations,” AgRural said.

CBOT markets took an absolute hammering today as Monday saw prices slashed. Beans were down 20 cents this afternoon, Chicago wheat similar. Kansas and Minapp wheat were down nearly double figures, as was Corn. European markets were off today too. Matif wheat closed down on average 2.5 euros across the curve. Rapeseed took a seeing too also, closing down 4 euros. London had a busier day than of late. 500 odd lots crossed the line across the curve. The majority of volume was on the May24 contract. May was trading down £2 this morning, but this afternoon came off the bottom but was still trading down over the pound mark. The May/ Nov spread was trading at 11 on Friday, this is now over £13.

Contact the ADMISI Grains and Oilseeds Derivatives Brokerage team

Hanne Bell, Ryan Easterbrook and Aaron Stockley-Isted

Phone: +44 (0)20 7716 8477  or  +44 (0)20 7716 8140      Email: intl.grains@admisi.com

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© 2024 ADM Investor Services International Limited

Risk Warning: Investments in Equities, Contracts for Difference (CFDs) in any instrument, Futures, Options, Derivatives and Foreign Exchange can fluctuate in value. Investors should therefore be aware that they may not realise the initial amount invested and may incur additional liabilities. These investments may be subject to above average financial risk of loss. Investors should consider their financial circumstances, investment experience and if it is appropriate to invest. If necessary, seek independent financial advice.

ADM Investor Services International Limited, registered in England No. 2547805, is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 148474] and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Registered office: 3rd Floor, The Minster Building, 21 Mincing Lane, London EC3R 7AG.                  

A subsidiary of Archer Daniels Midland Company.

© 2024 ADM Investor Services International Limited.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone.  Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition.  The information and comments contained herein is provided by ADMIS and in no way should be construed to be information provided by ADM.  The author of this report did not have a financial interest in any of the contracts discussed in this report at the time the report was prepared.  The information provided is designed to assist in your analysis and evaluation of the futures and options markets.  However, any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to ADMIS. Copyright ADM Investor Services, Inc.

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